Monday, April 09, 2007

MIT Prof on Global Warming

What most commentators—and many scientists—seem to miss is that the only thing
we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes. The earth is always
warming or cooling by as much as a few tenths of a degree a year; periods of
constant average temperatures are rare. Looking back on the earth's climate
history, it's apparent that there's no such thing as an optimal temperature—a
climate at which everything is just right. The current alarm
rests on the false assumption not only that we live in a perfect world,
temperaturewise, but also that our warming forecasts for the year 2040 are
somehow more reliable than the weatherman's forecast for next week.

Emphasis mine.

Read the rest here.

[h/t Drudge]


At 9:19 AM, April 09, 2007, Blogger Josh Schröder said...

Coulda used that Global Warming this weekend. This is the coldest Easter I can ever recall, and I'm 400 miles south of Wisconsin!!!! Thanks, Algore.

At 10:14 AM, April 09, 2007, Blogger JesusIsJustAlrightWithMe said...

While I agree with the general idea of this, I think comparing climate prediction with weather prediction is sort of a red herring. They're obvioulsy two very different things and predicting weather is obviously more difficult than predicting climate. Think of it like this: it's not too hard to predict the number of car accidents that will occur in Wisconsin this year to a reasonable degree of certainty. It is vastly more difficult to predict a particular car accident.


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